Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for SARAI-19 in Fiji, Tonga, Niue from 26 Dec 2019 06:00 UTC to 28 Dec 2019 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SARAI-19

in Fiji, Tonga, Niue

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SARAI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Fiji, Tonga, Niue
Exposed population	10 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (27 Dec 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	120 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	130 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	26 Dec 2019 06:00	120	1 million	90 thousand	Fiji
2	26 Dec 2019 12:00	120	1 million	10 thousand	Fiji
3	26 Dec 2019 18:00	120	1 million	2 thousand	Fiji
4	27 Dec 2019 00:00	120	1 million	6 thousand	Fiji
5	27 Dec 2019 06:00	120	950 thousand	Few people	Fiji, Tonga, Niue
6	27 Dec 2019 12:00	120	950 thousand	No people	Fiji, Tonga, Niue
7	27 Dec 2019 18:00	120	920 thousand	No people	Fiji, Tonga
8	28 Dec 2019 00:00	130	940 thousand	2 thousand	Fiji
9	28 Dec 2019 06:00	120	910 thousand	Few people	Fiji

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	26 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	6900 people	-13.2, 176.2
2	26 Dec 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	370000 people	-14.4, 175.8	Fiji
3	26 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	790000 people	-15.7, 175.5	Fiji
4	27 Dec 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	740000 people	-16.6, 175.4	Fiji
5	27 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	750000 people	-18, 175.5	Fiji
6	27 Dec 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	750000 people	-18.7, 176.1	Fiji
7	27 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	760000 people	-19.2, 176.8	Fiji
8	28 Dec 2019 00:00	Category 1	120	1700 people	770000 people	-19.6, 177.5	Fiji
9	28 Dec 2019 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	750000 people	-20.2, 177.7	Fiji
9	28 Dec 2019 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	550000 people	-20.5, 178.7	Fiji
9	29 Dec 2019 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	360000 people	-20.6, 179.7	Fiji
9	29 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	27000 people	-20.5, -179.5	Fiji
9	30 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	7500 people	-20.5, -178.7
9	31 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	110000 people	-19.8, -177	Tonga
9	01 Jan 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	24000 people	-18.8, -173.5	Niue
9	02 Jan 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-19.7, -169.4	Niue

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Fiji

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Fiji	Fiji

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Nasau		Fiji	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Tavua, Fiji. This height is estimated for 27 Dec 2019 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (106 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 28 Dec 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Dec 2019 05:00	Tavua	Fiji	0.3
	27 Dec 2019 19:00	Namaka	Fiji	0.2
	01 Jan 2020 05:00	Neiafu	Tonga	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 18:00	Lautoka	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 09:00	Momi	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 09:00	Soso	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 05:00	Tavua	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Solevu	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 18:00	Somosomo	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Rabulu	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Dromuna	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Cautata	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 06:00	Nawailevu	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 01:00	Nasilai	Fiji	0.2
	29 Dec 2019 13:00	Andako	Fiji	0.2
	31 Dec 2019 00:00	Ndalomo	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 09:00	Togowere	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Nailanga	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Sorokoba	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Natunuka	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 21:00	Monothaki	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 21:00	Ongea	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 07:00	Navotua	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 07:00	Tamusua	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Navindamu	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Nalauwaki	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 05:00	Navinggiri	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Pacific Harbour	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 13:00	Keteira	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 18:00	Namuka	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Korosi	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 07:00	Yangganga	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 07:00	Vatutandova	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Navuti	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Nasaga	Fiji	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 21:00	Naruwai	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Nacula	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Lovoni	Fiji	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 21:00	Savu Sau	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 07:00	Nadi	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 21:00	Soso	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 13:00	Tamavua	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 13:00	Lauthala Bay	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 13:00	Laucala	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 13:00	Lokia	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 12:00	Naimasimasi	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Naweni	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 07:00	Nagumu	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 16:00	Koroinasolo	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Nalotu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Vunisea	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Mburelevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Mokoisa	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 13:00	Gasele	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 21:00	Kaduvu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 21:00	Nukuvou	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Nabouwalu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Vabea	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 15:00	Dalice	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 15:00	Vanuavatu	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 16:00	Levuka	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Korovou	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Viani	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 07:00	Ucunivanua	Fiji	0.1
	31 Dec 2019 00:00	Rave-rave	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Matayalevu	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Matacawalevu	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Sisili	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 08:00	Ndenimanu	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Bouwanga	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Taunovo	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 19:00	Korolevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 19:00	Korovisilou	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 19:00	Galoa	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 19:00	Yanutha	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 19:00	Matavuralevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Nasau	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Talaulia	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Waisomo	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 19:00	Dakuimbeqa	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 19:00	Lalati	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 19:00	Navua	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 19:00	Naitionitoni	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 21:00	Naikorokoro	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 21:00	Namara	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Mau	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Kavala	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Kalokolevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Suva	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Kasavu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 20:00	Nausori	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 13:00	Vandravandra	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 13:00	Sawaieke	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 13:00	Vione	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 20:00	Liku	Fiji	0.1
	31 Dec 2019 21:00	Pangai	Tonga	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 10:00	Lodoni	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Korotasere	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Nakarambo	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 07:00	Nanduri	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Ndrekeniwai	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 14:00	Naingani	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 16:00	Rukuruku	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 07:00	Nanukuloa	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 16:00	Nauouo	Fiji	0.1
	31 Dec 2019 01:00	Ndaria	Fiji	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.